The perils of having Championship fixtures in your acca

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f you’ve ever sat down to watch a Championship fixture, then you will have heard at some point during the broadcast, one of the on-screen pundits say, ‘in the Championship, anyone can beat anyone’. It’s usually Keith Andrews who pipes up with that one-liner the most and then follows it up with a knowing nod at the camera as a way of saying to the watching world, ‘where exactly would you all be without my pearls of wisdom?’

Sure, Andrews may come across a bit smug, but on this occasion, he’s absolutely right. In fact, in November 2018, went about proving that and released a diagram that illustrates that anyone can beat anyone in the Championship.

qpr beat leeds

After 18 games of the 2018/2019 season, every team in the Championship had lost at least once which is where made the case of a continuous loop in the league whereby team 1 beat team 2 beat team 3 and so on and so forth.  What can we draw from this when looking to build profitable accas for the weekend?

The best advice would be to give the Championship a wide berth when selecting outright results. It’s a tough practice to adhere to because there’s lots of value in the fixtures but also a fair amount of heartache ahead as well, given the unpredictability of the league.

Take West Brom, for example, who hosted bottom of the league Ipswich during matchday 36 of the Championship season. Paul Lambert’s men travelled to the Hawthorns having not won in eight fixtures and sitting bottom of the Championship with the joint-worst goal difference in the league, having conceded 59 and only scored 27. By contrast, the Baggies had scored the second most amount of goals in the Championship with 67, only table toppers Norwich had scored more with 72.

This didn’t stop the Tractor Boys holding West Brom to a 1-1 draw in a game, that on paper, should have been a full gone conclusion but had serious consequences, as Baggies manager Darren Moore was sacked after it. Punters backing Leeds to beat QPR on matchday 34 would have been in for a rude awakening after the Rs were able to hold on to a 1-0 win, despite being on a seven-game losing streak. At the time of the loss, Leeds were in second and QPR 18th, since then, Leeds have beaten teams who were fourth and sixth in the table.

Darren Moore being sacked

Needless to say, you just don’t have the assurance of results in the Championship like you do other leagues. Take for instance Barcelona in Spain, the Catalans are 1/50 to win the league in La Liga betting and have enjoyed those odds for most of the season. The closest you will get to the safest outright odds in the Championship is Norwich on 8/11, Leeds 2/1 and then Sheffield United at 5/1, keep in mind, only four points separate first from third.

Calling the Championship correctly from week to week is a task that is fraught with danger but that doesn’t mean there isn’t value in England’s first tier though.

The constant flow of crazy results often means there are quite a few goals. It’s a much safer pastime calling the number of goals in a game then who is going to eventually win the match. It’s a wonderfully competitive league that produces the unthinkable on a weekly basis, but as for adding outright winners to your acca, well, that’s one sure way to ruin an otherwise profitable punt.